Poincare's Bread
Detective Story #1: Using distributions
- The story goes that every day Poincare bought bread from his local
baker. Though the bread was supposed to weigh 1 kilogram, Poicare found that
months of careful record keeping produced a nice normal distribution with a
mean (average) value of only 950 grams. Poincare called the police and the
baker was promptly told to behave himself.
How did Poincare know?
- A year later Poincare again visited the police: Though his own loaves had
indeed grown larger, the baker, he declared, was still short-shifting his other
customers. The police again confronted the incredulous baker. How, the man
asked, could Poincare possibly know that he was always given the largest
loaf?
How did Poincare know?
(Source)
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