Now we illustrate another fundamental concept of epidemiology. Using the definition of , rewrite equation (5a),
Suppose we immunize 90% of the population; then when we introduce a few infecteds, Z is 90% and X is 10% of the population, so X/N=.1. In that case, so long as , and the epidemic cannot take off. If you know , you can use equation (5b) to calculate the minimum fraction of the population that must be immunized to prevent an epidemic. Again, the general principle holds for more complicated transmission systems although it may be difficult to calculate the required immunization exactly for more complicated systems. The larger the larger the fraction of the population that must be immunized to prevent an epidemic.