-  Roll: who's new? 
	
	
 -  Announcements
		
		
		-  A reminder to put your phones away, please. 
		
 -  New folks need to give me a card, and sign the
			class agreement.
		
 -  I still have some workbooks, if anyone needs one. A
			bargain at $1!
		
 -  Good news -- everyone's had Calc II! 
		
 -  Not-so-Bad news -- no other course is common to all!:)
		
 -  You have a new assignment for next time. Keep an eye on
			the assignments page.
		
 
		
	 -  Today:
	
	
	-  Discuss homework problem (20-25 minutes): Togolese
		Temperatures -- the UP of the UPCE process.
		
		
		-  The question: "Are surface temperatures in Togo, West
		Africa, rising?" 
		
 -  We are provided time-series on 10 towns in Togo, averages
			of max and min temperatures by year. 
		
 -  What do we know?
		
 -  Impressions... get together with your partner/group
		
 -  What's the answer to the question?
		
 -  What do we need to know from Togolese meteorologists?
		
 -  What's next? Impressions are nice, but models are better....
		
		
 -  Your first mini-project
		
 
		
	 -  Examples of problems and models: Model Classes -- the function zoo
		
		
		-  The Basic Problem
		
		
 -  Linear functions are arguably the most important in
			mathematics. I just showed this linear model in my
			calculus (mat129) classes yesterday:
			
| $grade(K)=3.1K + 27.3$ | 
Final  Course  Grade  (%) | 
 
 | 
 | 
KEMTP score $K$ | 
			
		
 -  Adventures (and misadventures!) in modeling
			
			
 -  James Stewart's Calculus, p. 25: your
			introduction to the Keeling CO2 data. (If
			all you have is a hammer....). What would you see in
			the residuals?  Stewart describes interpolation,
			extrapolation, and the dangers of his model
			(p. 27).
			
 -  More hammers (some nails!)
			
 -  A UMAP misadventure
			
 
			
		
		
 -  Beasts whose
			existence may be unknown to you, but which may prove
			useful.
		
 
		
	 
	 
	
Website maintained by Andy Long.
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