Day | Date | Activity | Assignment |
Mon | 1/8 | Welcome/Intro | Graphs of Togolese Temperature data (due next time); Read over this summary of George Polya's problem-solving strategy: what do you think? |
Wed | 1/10 | Examples of problems and models: Model Classes -- the function zoo |
Intro to Mini-project 1: Togolese temps
(due 1/26); Read over the Bestiary of
functions, from Ben Bolker's Ecological Models and Data in
R. Note in particular the reasons for using these particular functions as
models for different phenomena.
You might try some of the R code at the end, if you have the courage! I like RStudio (freely available) for doing my work in R. Google and download if you wish. |
Fri | 1/12 | The Modeling Process (UPCE): Global CO2 | |
Mon | 1/15 | Martin Luther King, Jr. Holiday | No Class! Already? Enjoy! |
Wed | 1/17 | Empirical Modeling: Linear Regression -- fitting a line | Use the Mathematica code we discuss in class to create linear model(s) to your Togolese temperature data. Do you see a significant increasing trend in either maxes or mins? Work with your group-mate(s) on this. |
Fri | 1/19 | Univariate and Multivariate Derivation: multivariate calculus and linear algebra | Assignment: use the equations we've derived to compute -- "by hand" -- the least squares line for Stewart's Keeling data. Due Wednesday, 1/24. |
Mon | 1/22 | Univariate and Multivariate Derivation, continued | |
Wed | 1/24 | Linear Regression: Diagnostics (evaluation) | |
Fri | 1/26 | Linear Regression with non-linear curves | Use linear regression to fit a model to the interpolated Keeling data that includes Sine and Cosine terms with periods of a year to capture the oscillations, and a quadratic fit to the trend. Provide diagnostics, and test a cubic model for the trend. You might use a command like
keeling = Import["Desktop/classes/2018Spring/mat375/Keeling.csv"]; to read the data into Mathematica as a matrix (where you need to use the proper directory path). (Due 2/2) |
Mon | 1/29 | Linearization of the non-linear | |
Wed | 1/31 | Linearization | |
Fri | 2/2 | Global CO2: when does it peak? | Intro to Mini-project 2: Togolese temps |
Mon | 2/5 | Non-linear Regression: Newton's method; iterates as models of roots |
For Monday, 2/12: Please write up the Advertising expenditures
problem, answering the question that we haven't gotten to yet:
Advertising expenditures. This example is from Mooney and Swift's A Course in Mathematical Modeling (p. 169). They suggest two models for the data:
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Wed | 2/7 | Winter weather day! | Please skim over this website:
The
Population Biology of Isle Royale Wolves and Moose: An Overview
This is your introduction to a system whose dynamics we will be studying. In particular, I want you to notice all of the scatterplots and regressions. The authors use regression to characterize various facets of the population biology, as well as to estimate parameters for models. Regression is a very important tool in our modeling toolboxes. You should have done this by Wednesday, 2/14. |
Fri | 2/9 | Non-linear Regression, continued: cadavars | Evaluations of Mini-Project 1 due (see Mini-project 2). For Monday, please read pages 3-8 (the 7th-12th pages of the pdf) of this intro to modeling, by De Vries, et al. It gives us a tiny introduction to differential equations, difference equations, growth, and SIR infection models -- things we'll be studying in the week(s) ahead. |
Mon | 2/12 | Mechanistic models: De Vries, et al. | In preparation for Wednesday, please create a login at https://insightmaker.com/. |
Wed | 2/14 | Insight Maker: An SIR model | |
Fri | 2/16 | Insight Maker: An SIR model (cont.) | Mini-Project 2 due; Intro to Mini-Project 3 (due Friday, 3/2). |
Mon | 2/19 | Insight Maker: An SIR model (cont.) | |
Wed | 2/21 | Insight Maker: More SIR | You have an "exam prep" homework due the Monday after break, 3/12. Start early, and ask questions as needed. |
Fri | 2/23 | The moose and wolves of Isle Royale | |
Mon | 2/26 | More of moose and wolves, with Mathematica | |
Wed | 2/28 | More of moose and wolves, with Mathematica | |
Fri | 3/2 | Logistic plant growth -- regression and a differential equation | Mini-project 3 due; Final Project Teams Announced |
Mon | 3/5 | Spring Break | |
Wed | 3/7 | Spring Break | |
Fri | 3/9 | Spring Break | |
Mon | 3/12 | From regression to ODE: plant growth | |
Wed | 3/14 | Review | |
Fri | 3/16 | Midterm Exam | |
Mon | 3/19 | Decompress | Revise your in-class midterms for half-credit. Due Friday.
Review your own city's rainfall report (and collaboration), and compare and contrast the two reports for your two previous cities. Three pages, typed. Due Monday, 3/26. |
Wed | 3/21 | Markov Models (back to linear algebra!) | |
Fri | 3/23 | Basic Theory | |
Mon | 3/26 | Markov model of English Birthweights, and an SIR | |
Wed | 3/28 |
Assignment for all: please have a member of each city's group email Jacob with a summary of identified issues in the three reports prepared so far (and any other issues identified since). Olinick's Hoffman Galla tribe example: Please read Olinick's Chapter 11 on the Galla's practice of Age Classes for males (to discuss Monday). Hoffman's 1965 paper (in which he describes the deterministic model). |
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Fri | 3/30 | ||
Mon | 4/2 | ||
Wed | 4/4 | ||
Fri | 4/6 | Olinick's Galla Model | Assignment: see Day 34 for your instructions. Due Friday 4/13. |
Mon | 4/9 | Absorbing Markov Chains | The Togolese have replied to our questions, meaning you have a homework for Wednesday: evaluate their responses, and comment on their responses and propose follow up questions (one page, submitted electronically to both me, and to Maria McMahon). |
Wed | 4/11 | Tennis, anyone? | |
Fri | 4/13 | Olinick's Tennis example | You have a homework due Friday, 4/20. See day 37. |
Mon | 4/16 | Extending Markov chains | |
Wed | 4/18 | Bifurcation and Chaos | |
Fri | 4/20 | Beetle Mania | Your final project responsibilities |
Mon | 4/23 | Final Project Presentations | |
Wed | 4/25 | Final Project Presentations | |
Fri | 4/27 | Review | |
Mon | 4/30 | Prepare | rest |
Fri | 5/2 | Final Exam | Final Projects due. |